Betting Lines
| Spread | APP -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | ODU +350 APP -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APP +15 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | APP -9.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | APP -8.5 (-6.5) | 142.0 (+7.0) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | APP -7.3 (-7.7) | 143.7 (+5.3) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | APP -8.2 (-6.8) | 143.6 (+5.4) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | APP -8.4 (-6.6) | 142.1 (+6.9) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | ODU 75 – 73 APP |
| Dec 31, 2025 | APP 81 – 73 ODU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | ODU 61 – 56 APP |
| Jan 29, 2025 | ODU 78 – 77 APP |
| Jan 17, 2025 | APP 62 – 43 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | APP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 27-7 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 16-2 |
| Home | 5-10 | 15-0 |
| Away | 1-12 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 68.7 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#276) | 6.6 (#89) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#324) | 1.50 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.83 (#308) | 1.58 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.406 (#330) | 0.584 (#44) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | APP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 14.2% |
Game Analysis
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