Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | TNTC +150 SIUE -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +1 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | SIUE -2.3 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.1 (+20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -2.9 (+1.9) | 134.3 (+20.7) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -2.0 (+1.0) | 134.5 (+20.5) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -2.3 (+1.3) | 135.5 (+19.5) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -2.5 (+1.5) | 136.5 (+18.5) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | TNTC 62 – 52 SIUE |
| Jan 24, 2026 | SIUE 62 – 58 TNTC |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SIUE 75 – 58 TNTC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SIUE 67 – 59 TNTC |
| Jan 27, 2024 | SIUE 74 – 57 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-8 | 12-2 |
| Away | 3-13 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -11.4 (#333) | -5.8 (#272) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#328) | -0.91 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.25 (#324) | -1.23 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#322) | 0.466 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 18.1% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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