Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | UML -1600 LIU +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +7 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | UML -11.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.3 (-26.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -10.5 (-3.5) | 148.0 (-17.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -12.3 (-5.3) | 149.0 (-18.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -9.1 (-2.1) | 148.4 (-17.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UML -10.6 (-3.6) | 149.7 (-18.7) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2023 | UML 78 – 65 LIU |
| Dec 6, 2022 | UML 84 – 64 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 12-4 |
| Home | 14-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-11 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 65.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#198) | -9.0 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#147) | -1.30 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#139) | -2.12 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#125) | 0.450 (#257) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 33.7% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 64.7% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 40.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.