Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | AKR -350 KENT +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +13 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -8.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (+14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -6.8 (+6.2) | 136.1 (+16.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -6.6 (+6.4) | 135.3 (+17.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -7.3 (+5.7) | 136.2 (+16.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -7.5 (+5.5) | 136.4 (+16.6) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | AKR 75 – 68 KENT |
| Feb 28, 2026 | AKR 92 – 70 KENT |
| Jan 30, 2026 | AKR 69 – 52 KENT |
| Mar 1, 2025 | AKR 77 – 72 KENT |
| Feb 1, 2025 | AKR 85 – 71 KENT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-1 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-6 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#98) | 0.3 (#161) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#90) | -0.43 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#93) | -0.44 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.574 (#60) | 0.488 (#199) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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