Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | COR -137 YALE +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +3 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | COR -2.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (-28.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -3.3 (-0.3) | 148.2 (-21.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -1.7 (+1.3) | 146.1 (-19.1) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -2.7 (+0.3) | 148.6 (-21.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -3.4 (-0.4) | 149.5 (-22.5) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | YALE 88 – 76 COR |
| Feb 27, 2026 | COR 72 – 69 YALE |
| Jan 17, 2026 | YALE 102 – 68 COR |
| Mar 16, 2025 | YALE 90 – 84 COR |
| Feb 22, 2025 | YALE 92 – 88 COR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-8 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 11-3 |
| Home | 10-1 | 9-2 |
| Away | 10-6 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 68.9 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#98) | 6.4 (#92) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.92 (#47) | 1.52 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#47) | 1.79 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#33) | 0.599 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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