Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | KSU -125 BYU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +10 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -6.3 (+16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (+10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -4.4 (+14.4) | 145.7 (+12.3) | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -4.0 (+14.0) | 149.2 (+8.8) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -3.3 (+13.3) | 144.6 (+13.4) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -4.2 (+14.2) | 145.9 (+12.1) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | BYU 105 – 91 KSU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | BYU 83 – 73 KSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | BYU 80 – 65 KSU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | BYU 72 – 66 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-3 | 16-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 8.4 (#71) | 18.0 (#9) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#80) | 2.07 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#80) | 2.52 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#96) | 0.583 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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