Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | HOW -500 MORG +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOW +6 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | HOW -10.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -9.1 (-3.1) | 150.8 (-0.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -8.1 (-2.1) | 151.3 (-1.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -8.7 (-2.7) | 151.9 (-1.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -8.9 (-2.9) | 152.0 (-2.0) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | HOW 84 – 59 MORG |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MORG 78 – 77 HOW |
| Mar 13, 2025 | MORG 91 – 90 HOW |
| Feb 22, 2025 | HOW 87 – 81 MORG |
| Jan 11, 2025 | HOW 100 – 95 MORG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOW | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 7-7 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 80.0 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#275) | -13.7 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.34 (#298) | -1.84 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#291) | -2.22 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#303) | 0.430 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOW | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 62.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.