Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | MONT -450 PRST +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +9 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -8.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (+9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -7.0 (+2.0) | 145.9 (+9.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -6.8 (+2.2) | 144.9 (+10.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -7.2 (+1.8) | 147.6 (+7.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -6.6 (+2.4) | 146.1 (+8.9) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | MONT 75 – 72 PRST |
| Feb 28, 2026 | MONT 74 – 68 PRST |
| Jan 30, 2026 | MONT 64 – 60 PRST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PRST 79 – 76 MONT |
| Jan 31, 2025 | MONT 92 – 78 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-2 |
| Away | 8-7 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#151) | -4.3 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#129) | -0.10 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#145) | -0.34 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#111) | 0.486 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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