Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | COLG -1000 AMER +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMER +2 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -11.7 (-13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (-2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -9.6 (-11.6) | 132.0 (-2.0) | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -11.7 (-13.7) | 130.5 (-0.5) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -12.5 (-14.5) | 131.6 (-1.6) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -11.1 (-13.1) | 132.6 (-2.6) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | AMER 70 – 66 COLG |
| Jan 8, 2026 | COLG 64 – 62 AMER |
| Mar 9, 2025 | AMER 72 – 62 COLG |
| Mar 1, 2025 | AMER 67 – 59 COLG |
| Jan 25, 2025 | AMER 81 – 77 COLG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 8-7 |
| Away | 10-5 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#133) | -6.1 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#126) | -1.64 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#140) | -1.77 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#83) | 0.420 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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