Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | NCCU -250 DSU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCCU +12 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | NCCU -6.9 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (+36.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -5.3 (+6.7) | 138.1 (+35.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -6.1 (+5.9) | 139.3 (+34.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -4.6 (+7.4) | 139.4 (+34.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -4.7 (+7.3) | 139.4 (+34.6) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | NCCU 59 – 53 DSU |
| Feb 28, 2026 | NCCU 74 – 60 DSU |
| Feb 10, 2026 | NCCU 72 – 63 DSU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | NCCU 79 – 77 DSU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | DSU 86 – 84 NCCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCCU | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 6-8 |
| Home | 11-2 | 7-5 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#258) | -8.1 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#277) | -1.45 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#274) | -1.47 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#278) | 0.430 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCCU | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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