Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | LAM +280 MCN -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +2 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | MCN -8.7 (+6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (-36.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -7.5 (+5.5) | 144.4 (-30.4) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -6.1 (+4.1) | 142.7 (-28.7) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -8.9 (+6.9) | 145.2 (-31.2) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -7.4 (+5.4) | 144.3 (-30.3) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | MCN 64 – 63 LAM |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MCN 82 – 70 LAM |
| Mar 12, 2025 | MCN 63 – 54 LAM |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MCN 68 – 66 LAM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MCN 75 – 64 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 30-4 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 17-1 |
| Home | 11-3 | 18-0 |
| Away | 5-11 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 3-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 64.8 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#216) | 9.1 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#265) | 1.85 (#48) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#257) | 2.45 (#35) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#256) | 0.586 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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