Just tell me where it hurts and I'll tell you who to call. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
Ohio Valley Conference · Groniger Arena · February 28, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread SIUE -1.5 Home covered
O/U 140.5 Over
Money EIU -111 / SIUE -115
Model Predictions
Spread Total EIU win
Actual EIU +5 163 Won
Massey EIU -0.6 (+4.4) — —
Massey Totals — 132.7 (+30.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 48% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 50% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SIUE -0.4 (+5.4) 135.1 (+27.9) 49% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SIUE -1.0 (+6.0) 132.9 (+30.1) 41% ✗
Baseline Plus ML SIUE -0.4 (+5.4) 136.9 (+26.1) 54% ✓
Baseline ML SIUE -0.3 (+5.3) 135.9 (+27.1) 48% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 5, 2026 EIU 77 – 71 SIUE
Feb 28, 2026 SIUE 77 – 50 EIU
Dec 18, 2025 EIU 76 – 72 SIUE
Feb 5, 2025 SIUE 66 – 41 EIU
Jan 8, 2025 SIUE 60 – 57 EIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EIU SIUE
Overall 14-18 17-16
Conference 8-10 9-9
Home 9-6 12-2
Away 4-11 2-13
Neutral 1-1 3-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 65.3 69.4
Avg Pts Against 70.4 71.0
Massey -8.7 (#310) -6.0 (#273)
Bradley-Terry -1.61 (#313) -0.92 (#274)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.00 (#315) -1.31 (#285)
RPI 0.438 (#296) 0.472 (#235)
Shooting & Four Factors EIU SIUE
FG% 39.9% 41.7%
3PT% 30.8% 33.3%
REB / G 33.8 33.8
OREB / G 10.8 10.4
AST / TO 1.12 1.02
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.4% 48.0%
TOV% 15.1% 15.4%
ORB% 28.1% 29.1%
FT Rate 19.7% 23.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.6% 51.0%
Opp TOV% 19.8% 17.9%
DRB% 73.9% 71.2%
Opp FT Rate 27.8% 26.3%

Game Analysis

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