Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | LEH -250 BU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +2 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | LEH -5.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (-14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -5.3 (-7.3) | 137.9 (-11.9) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -3.0 (-5.0) | 137.1 (-11.1) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -4.1 (-6.1) | 140.0 (-14.0) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -4.4 (-6.4) | 139.2 (-13.2) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | LEH 74 – 60 BU |
| Feb 22, 2026 | LEH 70 – 67 BU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | LEH 93 – 91 BU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | BU 79 – 68 LEH |
| Jan 15, 2025 | BU 63 – 58 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-7 | 9-7 |
| Away | 8-11 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#258) | -7.1 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#315) | -1.51 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#301) | -1.70 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#263) | 0.440 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 77.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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