Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
Oklahoma Sooners
86 – 74
FINAL Neutral Conference SEC
South Carolina Gamecocks
Southeastern Conference · Bridgestone Arena (Neutral) · March 12, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread OU -7.5 Home covered
O/U 149.5 Over
Money OU -360 / SC +285
Model Predictions
Spread Total OU win
Actual OU +12 160 Won
Massey OU -6.2 (+5.8) — —
Massey Totals — 151.1 (+8.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 77% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 79% ✓
Baseline Plus ML OU -6.4 (+5.6) 148.3 (+11.7) 76% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ OU -5.2 (+6.8) 148.3 (+11.7) 75% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML OU -6.6 (+5.4) 145.7 (+14.3) 75% ✓
Baseline ML OU -6.0 (+6.0) 146.8 (+13.2) 74% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 21, 2026 SC 85 – 76 OU
Jan 18, 2025 OU 82 – 62 SC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OU SC
Overall 21-16 13-19
Conference 7-11 4-14
Home 11-5 11-8
Away 4-7 2-8
Neutral 6-4 0-3
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 82.9 74.9
Avg Pts Against 77.4 76.5
Massey 11.7 (#47) 5.5 (#100)
Bradley-Terry 1.80 (#54) 0.59 (#115)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.43 (#50) 1.10 (#96)
RPI 0.524 (#122) 0.482 (#225)
Shooting & Four Factors OU SC
FG% 46.8% 43.5%
3PT% 37.2% 30.8%
REB / G 35.7 32.5
OREB / G 11.5 9.0
AST / TO 1.38 1.35
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.1% 50.3%
TOV% 14.7% 14.4%
ORB% 33.5% 26.6%
FT Rate 27.0% 28.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.5% 51.0%
Opp TOV% 15.5% 14.7%
DRB% 67.2% 67.7%
Opp FT Rate 25.7% 24.1%

Game Analysis

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