Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | AUB -1000 OSU +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +38 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | AUB -7.6 (+30.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.3 (-13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -7.0 (+31.0) | 155.0 (-11.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -7.6 (+30.4) | 150.8 (-6.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -6.6 (+31.4) | 152.9 (-8.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -5.4 (+32.6) | 156.2 (-12.2) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AUB | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-6 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 9-11 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-6 |
| Away | 8-2 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 11-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.0 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 24.7 (#2) | 17.1 (#15) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.05 (#3) | 1.40 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.61 (#6) | 2.41 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.722 (#1) | 0.568 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AUB | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.1% | 50.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 41.6% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 2.06 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.4% | 58.4% |
| TOV% | 13.3% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.0% | 43.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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