Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | LMU -350 USD +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +34 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -7.1 (+26.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (+11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -4.0 (+30.0) | 145.7 (+12.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -4.9 (+29.1) | 145.7 (+12.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -5.0 (+29.0) | 147.1 (+10.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -3.9 (+30.1) | 146.2 (+11.8) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | USD 66 – 62 LMU |
| Feb 21, 2026 | LMU 77 – 65 USD |
| Feb 8, 2026 | LMU 83 – 63 USD |
| Mar 8, 2025 | LMU 100 – 74 USD |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LMU 78 – 62 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 7-9 |
| Home | 8-8 | 12-6 |
| Away | 2-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#172) | -4.4 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#244) | 0.10 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#237) | -0.02 (#168) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#264) | 0.492 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.6% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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