Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | LEH +138 COLG -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +3 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -3.6 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (-19.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -3.0 (+0.0) | 136.4 (-13.4) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -3.3 (+0.3) | 137.1 (-14.1) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -3.6 (+0.6) | 139.6 (-16.6) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -3.2 (+0.2) | 137.9 (-14.9) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | LEH 76 – 69 COLG |
| Jan 31, 2026 | LEH 77 – 76 COLG |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LEH 78 – 77 COLG |
| Feb 3, 2025 | LEH 94 – 68 COLG |
| Jan 9, 2025 | COLG 67 – 62 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 16-2 |
| Home | 6-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 8-11 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 64.9 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#261) | 2.1 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.83 (#325) | 0.32 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#311) | 0.30 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#272) | 0.552 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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