Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | SHU +170 MRMK -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +4 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -2.1 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (+36.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -1.9 (+5.9) | 136.6 (+37.4) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -1.9 (+5.9) | 140.4 (+33.6) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -1.5 (+5.5) | 141.3 (+32.7) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -1.9 (+5.9) | 138.5 (+35.5) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MRMK 70 – 48 SHU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | MRMK 75 – 58 SHU |
| Dec 29, 2025 | MRMK 80 – 72 SHU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | MRMK 66 – 62 SHU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SHU 60 – 59 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 13-3 |
| Home | 11-5 | 13-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 64.6 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#286) | -1.4 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#306) | -0.20 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#313) | -0.42 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#291) | 0.526 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 23.7% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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