Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | BTLR +180 WIS -220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +9 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | WIS -4.3 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (+9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -3.1 (-5.9) | 143.3 (+13.7) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -2.9 (-6.1) | 145.1 (+11.9) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -2.9 (-6.1) | 142.7 (+14.3) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -2.7 (-6.3) | 145.0 (+12.0) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-20 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 13-7 |
| Home | 9-8 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 80.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#76) | 11.9 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#84) | 2.27 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.59 (#55) | 3.64 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#85) | 0.632 (#24) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 40.1% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 37.1% | 32.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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