Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | UVU -120 UTA +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +13 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | UVU -1.8 (-14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -1.3 (-14.3) | 138.8 (+4.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -2.2 (-15.2) | 140.1 (+2.9) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -1.1 (-14.1) | 139.8 (+3.2) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -1.3 (-14.3) | 141.5 (+1.5) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | UVU 67 – 65 UTA |
| Feb 21, 2026 | UVU 66 – 54 UTA |
| Feb 7, 2026 | UVU 81 – 60 UTA |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UVU 86 – 74 UTA |
| Feb 7, 2025 | UVU 94 – 73 UTA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 13-7 |
| Home | 10-4 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-10 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#169) | 1.3 (#148) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#165) | 0.22 (#151) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#162) | 0.51 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#148) | 0.516 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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