Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | IDHO +210 MONT -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +23 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | MONT -5.4 (-17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -4.3 (-18.7) | 140.3 (-3.3) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -5.4 (-17.6) | 138.0 (-1.0) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -4.4 (-18.6) | 141.3 (-4.3) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -4.4 (-18.6) | 141.1 (-4.1) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | IDHO 77 – 66 MONT |
| Feb 7, 2026 | MONT 73 – 68 IDHO |
| Jan 9, 2026 | MONT 79 – 73 IDHO |
| Mar 12, 2025 | MONT 78 – 55 IDHO |
| Jan 21, 2025 | MONT 72 – 67 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 12-6 |
| Home | 6-10 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-10 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#304) | 0.5 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#292) | 0.46 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#302) | 0.33 (#147) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#308) | 0.537 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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