Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS -188 UNM +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +10 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -1.7 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (+13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -3.2 (+6.8) | 149.5 (+18.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -3.8 (+6.2) | 147.3 (+20.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -3.7 (+6.3) | 149.7 (+18.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -3.1 (+6.9) | 150.6 (+17.4) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | BOIS 91 – 90 UNM |
| Dec 31, 2025 | BOIS 62 – 53 UNM |
| Mar 15, 2025 | BOIS 72 – 69 UNM |
| Feb 20, 2025 | BOIS 86 – 78 UNM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UNM 84 – 65 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 7-3 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 8-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 80.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 12.1 (#39) | 13.7 (#22) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#32) | 2.11 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.29 (#44) | 2.58 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#25) | 0.605 (#21) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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