And Harry doesn't mind if he doesn't make the scene. "Sultans of Swing" - Dire Straits
Summit League · Mabee Center · March 3, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread ORU -2.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Under
Money ORU -154 / KC +120
Model Predictions
Spread Total ORU win
Actual KC +17 125 Lost
Massey ORU -1.8 (-18.8) — —
Massey Totals — 146.4 (-21.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 57% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 55% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML ORU -0.1 (-17.1) 140.6 (-15.6) 50% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ORU -1.4 (-18.4) 140.9 (-15.9) 52% ✗
Baseline Plus ML KC -0.0 (-17.0) 143.5 (-18.5) 47% ✓
Baseline ML ORU -0.1 (-17.1) 142.8 (-17.8) 49% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 5, 2026 ORU 84 – 62 KC
Mar 1, 2026 ORU 94 – 70 KC
Feb 13, 2026 ORU 69 – 60 KC
Mar 6, 2025 KC 73 – 56 ORU
Feb 2, 2025 ORU 73 – 67 KC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ORU KC
Overall 12-19 16-16
Conference 5-11 10-6
Home 9-5 10-3
Away 2-13 6-9
Neutral 1-1 0-4
Last 5 0-5 5-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 72.1 70.6
Avg Pts Against 77.0 71.4
Massey -4.9 (#263) -3.5 (#228)
Bradley-Terry -1.12 (#288) -0.78 (#260)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.32 (#289) -0.84 (#248)
RPI 0.445 (#292) 0.465 (#256)
Shooting & Four Factors ORU KC
FG% 43.9% 42.3%
3PT% 36.3% 33.9%
REB / G 32.8 35.1
OREB / G 7.3 10.8
AST / TO 1.05 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.3% 49.7%
TOV% 14.2% 18.0%
ORB% 21.0% 31.2%
FT Rate 19.8% 21.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.1% 51.6%
Opp TOV% 14.5% 17.3%
DRB% 68.6% 74.3%
Opp FT Rate 23.6% 33.0%

Game Analysis

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