Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE -200 BRAD +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +8 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -4.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (-10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -5.3 (+2.7) | 148.7 (-8.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -4.5 (+3.5) | 146.8 (-6.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -5.3 (+2.7) | 147.9 (-7.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -5.1 (+2.9) | 149.0 (-9.0) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | BRAD 87 – 73 DRKE |
| Jan 8, 2026 | BRAD 93 – 66 DRKE |
| Mar 9, 2025 | DRKE 63 – 48 BRAD |
| Feb 16, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 59 DRKE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | DRKE 64 – 57 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 13-7 |
| Home | 16-0 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.7 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#50) | 8.8 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#41) | 1.37 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.31 (#42) | 1.62 (#80) |
| RPI | 0.612 (#16) | 0.590 (#34) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.64 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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