Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UNH +310 UVM -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +4 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | UVM -6.1 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (-5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -6.5 (+2.5) | 137.4 (-5.4) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -5.8 (+1.8) | 140.4 (-8.4) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -6.3 (+2.3) | 139.0 (-7.0) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -6.3 (+2.3) | 138.5 (-6.5) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UVM 80 – 57 UNH |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UVM 80 – 61 UNH |
| Mar 8, 2025 | UVM 64 – 57 UNH |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UVM 79 – 59 UNH |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UVM 60 – 40 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 15-1 |
| Home | 9-5 | 16-1 |
| Away | 7-10 | 10-4 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 63.8 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#246) | 5.1 (#101) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#202) | 1.36 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#228) | 1.62 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#156) | 0.587 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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