Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | MAN +350 IONA -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MAN +17 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -8.2 (+25.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -7.5 (+24.5) | 140.7 (-3.7) | 23% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -8.7 (+25.7) | 139.0 (-2.0) | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -8.2 (+25.2) | 141.2 (-4.2) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -7.8 (+24.8) | 140.4 (-3.4) | 24% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | IONA 69 – 65 MAN |
| Jan 25, 2026 | IONA 66 – 57 MAN |
| Mar 13, 2025 | IONA 77 – 65 MAN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | IONA 65 – 60 MAN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MAN 76 – 55 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 10-10 |
| Home | 3-10 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-12 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -13.3 (#342) | -1.8 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.19 (#338) | -0.60 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.17 (#348) | -0.61 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#304) | 0.489 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 15.8% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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