Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | BRY -110 FOR -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +2 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | BRY -2.4 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.6 (+9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -0.7 (-2.7) | 155.5 (+14.5) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -1.2 (-3.2) | 153.9 (+16.1) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -0.7 (-2.7) | 153.4 (+16.6) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -0.7 (-2.7) | 154.2 (+15.8) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 3-15 |
| Home | 12-3 | 8-8 |
| Away | 10-7 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.8 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 78.5 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#167) | -2.6 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#202) | -0.50 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#185) | -0.81 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#165) | 0.469 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.