What have I done? "Police On My Back" - The Clash
Big Ten Conference · Crisler Center · March 10, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread NEB -6.5 Away covered
O/U 150.5 Over
Money MICH +188 / NEB -250
Model Predictions
Spread Total MICH win
Actual NEB +15 155 Lost
Massey NEB -4.9 (-10.1) — —
Massey Totals — 152.1 (+2.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 22% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 22% ✓
Baseline Plus ML NEB -7.5 (-7.5) 147.9 (+7.1) 23% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ NEB -4.7 (-10.3) 147.3 (+7.7) 29% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML NEB -5.7 (-9.3) 146.9 (+8.1) 26% ✓
Baseline ML NEB -5.6 (-9.4) 146.8 (+8.2) 25% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 28, 2026 MICH 75 – 72 NEB
Feb 25, 2025 MICH 49 – 46 NEB
Feb 10, 2024 NEB 79 – 59 MICH
Feb 8, 2023 MICH 93 – 72 NEB
Feb 2, 2022 MICH 85 – 79 NEB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MICH NEB
Overall 8-24 23-11
Conference 3-17 12-8
Home 5-10 18-1
Away 2-9 3-8
Neutral 1-5 2-2
Last 5 0-5 4-1
Streak L9 L2
Avg Pts For 72.9 77.7
Avg Pts Against 79.0 70.9
Massey 3.6 (#116) 11.7 (#44)
Bradley-Terry 0.19 (#148) 2.03 (#37)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.66 (#125) 2.57 (#30)
RPI 0.501 (#176) 0.581 (#47)
Shooting & Four Factors MICH NEB
FG% 44.8% 44.6%
3PT% 36.4% 35.8%
REB / G 35.4 38.1
OREB / G 10.6 9.9
AST / TO 0.96 1.35
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.7% 52.6%
TOV% 18.6% 16.3%
ORB% 30.8% 28.5%
FT Rate 22.4% 24.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.3% 46.2%
Opp TOV% 13.7% 16.6%
DRB% 68.9% 69.8%
Opp FT Rate 21.6% 18.8%

Game Analysis

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