Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | WICH -154 RICE +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +7 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -4.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+27.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -3.2 (+3.8) | 141.0 (+28.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -3.3 (+3.7) | 140.1 (+28.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -3.7 (+3.3) | 138.2 (+30.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -3.8 (+3.2) | 138.8 (+30.2) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2026 | RICE 66 – 64 WICH |
| Mar 7, 2025 | WICH 63 – 59 RICE |
| Mar 3, 2024 | WICH 87 – 66 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-5 | 6-10 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#154) | -3.3 (#224) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#189) | -0.77 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#175) | -0.89 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#203) | 0.475 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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