Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | UAB -200 WICH +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +12 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -1.8 (+10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (-16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -2.5 (+9.5) | 150.0 (-18.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -3.3 (+8.7) | 147.0 (-15.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -2.3 (+9.7) | 147.2 (-15.2) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -2.8 (+9.2) | 148.7 (-16.7) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | WICH 75 – 70 UAB |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UAB 80 – 72 WICH |
| Feb 29, 2024 | WICH 74 – 66 UAB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#116) | 1.5 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#92) | 0.01 (#170) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#105) | 0.08 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#68) | 0.499 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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