Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | NCCU -250 DSU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DSU +13 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | NCCU -3.8 (-16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -3.3 (-16.3) | 142.1 (-13.1) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -3.8 (-16.8) | 142.6 (-13.6) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -3.6 (-16.6) | 143.1 (-14.1) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -2.9 (-15.9) | 143.2 (-14.2) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | NCCU 59 – 53 DSU |
| Feb 28, 2026 | NCCU 74 – 60 DSU |
| Feb 10, 2026 | NCCU 72 – 63 DSU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | NCCU 79 – 77 DSU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | DSU 86 – 84 NCCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCCU | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 6-8 |
| Home | 11-2 | 7-5 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#250) | -8.2 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#266) | -1.38 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#263) | -1.43 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#253) | 0.437 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCCU | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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