Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 123.5 Under |
| Money | HOU -250 ISU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +28 | 110 | Lost |
| Massey | HOU -5.3 (-33.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.4 (-13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -3.1 (-31.1) | 126.0 (-16.0) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -3.9 (-31.9) | 122.3 (-12.3) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -4.3 (-32.3) | 125.2 (-15.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -4.1 (-32.1) | 122.5 (-12.5) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | ISU 70 – 67 HOU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | HOU 68 – 59 ISU |
| Feb 20, 2024 | HOU 73 – 65 ISU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | ISU 57 – 53 HOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-5 | 29-8 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 13-5 |
| Home | 17-0 | 18-0 |
| Away | 7-3 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 57.6 | 61.5 |
| Massey | 24.3 (#1) | 19.0 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.92 (#1) | 2.77 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.74 (#1) | 3.22 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.659 (#2) | 0.595 (#21) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 37.2% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.9% | 26.2% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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