Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | YALE -150 COR +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +12 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -0.6 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.2 (-27.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -0.6 (+11.4) | 148.7 (-22.7) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -0.9 (+11.1) | 147.2 (-21.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -0.9 (+11.1) | 148.4 (-22.4) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -1.0 (+11.0) | 150.1 (-24.1) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | YALE 88 – 76 COR |
| Feb 27, 2026 | COR 72 – 69 YALE |
| Jan 17, 2026 | YALE 102 – 68 COR |
| Mar 16, 2025 | YALE 90 – 84 COR |
| Feb 22, 2025 | YALE 92 – 88 COR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 22-8 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 11-3 |
| Home | 9-2 | 10-1 |
| Away | 9-6 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#91) | 5.7 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#82) | 1.62 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#83) | 1.96 (#59) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#26) | 0.576 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 57.1% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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