Betting Lines
| Spread | BTLR -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | BTLR -213 MINN +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +1 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | BTLR -5.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (-6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BTLR -6.1 (-7.1) | 148.4 (-3.4) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BTLR -5.4 (-6.4) | 147.9 (-2.9) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BTLR -6.8 (-7.8) | 149.3 (-4.3) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BTLR -7.0 (-8.0) | 149.3 (-4.3) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-11 |
| Home | 12-6 | 16-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#59) | 7.5 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#80) | 1.03 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#77) | 1.45 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#125) | 0.497 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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