Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | IOWA -250 KSU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +9 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -4.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.6 (+14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -5.7 (+3.3) | 153.6 (+19.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -4.1 (+4.9) | 157.5 (+15.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -5.4 (+3.6) | 155.0 (+18.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -6.4 (+2.6) | 156.2 (+16.8) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.1 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#48) | 9.1 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#70) | 1.54 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#58) | 1.88 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#97) | 0.539 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.87 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 13.1% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.