Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | BOIS +145 COLO -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +7 | 113 | Lost |
| Massey | COLO -1.4 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-33.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -2.0 (-5.0) | 142.4 (-29.4) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -0.4 (-6.6) | 139.4 (-26.4) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -1.6 (-5.4) | 141.4 (-28.4) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -1.6 (-5.4) | 141.4 (-28.4) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2022 | BOIS 68 – 55 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 13-7 |
| Home | 13-3 | 16-1 |
| Away | 7-3 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#43) | 13.4 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#34) | 1.93 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#44) | 2.39 (#39) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#37) | 0.583 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 49.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 39.4% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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