Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | HALL -350 JOES +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +3 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | HALL -5.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (+2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -4.4 (-1.4) | 143.3 (+3.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -6.1 (-3.1) | 142.3 (+4.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -4.9 (-1.9) | 143.3 (+3.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -5.8 (-2.8) | 143.5 (+3.5) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | JOES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 17-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#67) | 6.1 (#94) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#61) | 1.09 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#59) | 1.23 (#99) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#98) | 0.542 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | JOES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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