Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | BOIS +125 SMC -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +2 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | SMC -1.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -2.5 (+4.5) | 138.7 (-6.7) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -3.2 (+5.2) | 140.9 (-8.9) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -2.7 (+4.7) | 141.5 (-9.5) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -2.5 (+4.5) | 139.9 (-7.9) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2025 | BOIS 68 – 67 SMC |
| Dec 2, 2023 | BOIS 63 – 60 SMC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 17-1 |
| Home | 13-3 | 16-1 |
| Away | 6-5 | 9-1 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 61.8 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#60) | 11.0 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#110) | 2.96 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#81) | 4.10 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#95) | 0.669 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 42.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 15.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 42.2% |
| FT Rate | 32.6% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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