Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | TENN -275 TEX +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +4 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -5.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (-22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -4.2 (-0.2) | 142.8 (-22.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -3.7 (+0.3) | 142.3 (-22.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -4.2 (-0.2) | 142.2 (-22.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -4.6 (-0.6) | 142.9 (-22.9) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2026 | TENN 85 – 71 TEX |
| Mar 14, 2025 | TENN 83 – 72 TEX |
| Jan 11, 2025 | TENN 74 – 70 TEX |
| Jan 28, 2023 | TENN 82 – 71 TEX |
| Jan 30, 2022 | TEX 52 – 51 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-2 | 14-4 |
| Away | 8-3 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 68.9 |
| Massey | 19.2 (#7) | 13.5 (#26) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.84 (#6) | 1.97 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.55 (#6) | 2.43 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#6) | 0.561 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.61 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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