What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
(3) Creighton Bluejays
86 – 73 2OT
FINAL Neutral NCAA Tournament
(11) Oregon Ducks
PPG Paints Arena (Neutral) · March 24, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread CREI -3.5 Home covered
O/U 147.5 Over
Money CREI -188 / ORE +145
Model Predictions
Spread Total CREI win
Actual CREI +13 159 Won
Massey CREI -7.1 (+5.9) — —
Massey Totals — 148.6 (+10.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 60% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 68% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CREI -3.9 (+9.1) 143.2 (+15.8) 62% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CREI -4.8 (+8.2) 143.3 (+15.7) 65% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CREI -4.7 (+8.3) 143.5 (+15.5) 69% ✓
Baseline ML CREI -4.8 (+8.2) 143.8 (+15.2) 67% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 27, 2025 CREI 76 – 66 ORE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CREI ORE
Overall 25-10 24-12
Conference 14-6 12-8
Home 14-2 13-3
Away 8-4 6-5
Neutral 3-4 5-4
Last 5 4-1 5-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 80.4 75.6
Avg Pts Against 69.9 72.3
Massey 17.2 (#12) 10.1 (#53)
Bradley-Terry 2.37 (#19) 1.97 (#41)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.10 (#13) 2.32 (#43)
RPI 0.594 (#25) 0.571 (#48)
Shooting & Four Factors CREI ORE
FG% 48.8% 46.0%
3PT% 36.5% 33.8%
REB / G 37.9 34.1
OREB / G 8.2 9.8
AST / TO 1.59 1.36
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 57.7% 52.2%
TOV% 15.4% 14.8%
ORB% 25.8% 28.5%
FT Rate 19.5% 23.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.3% 51.6%
Opp TOV% 11.1% 17.9%
DRB% 75.5% 73.1%
Opp FT Rate 12.6% 23.6%

Game Analysis

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