Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | WAKE -350 UGA +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +6 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | WAKE -9.9 (-15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (-12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -8.0 (-14.0) | 149.3 (-11.3) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -9.1 (-15.1) | 151.6 (-13.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -9.4 (-15.4) | 152.2 (-14.2) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -9.8 (-15.8) | 151.4 (-13.4) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2023 | UGA 80 – 77 WAKE |
| Nov 12, 2022 | WAKE 81 – 71 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 20-17 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 17-2 | 13-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 12.8 (#31) | 6.1 (#94) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#57) | 1.14 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.29 (#46) | 1.37 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#77) | 0.528 (#116) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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