Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | UNLV -165 BC +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +9 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | UNLV -2.8 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNLV -2.5 (+6.5) | 139.6 (+9.4) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNLV -3.9 (+5.1) | 139.1 (+9.9) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNLV -2.7 (+6.3) | 139.8 (+9.2) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -3.3 (+5.7) | 140.6 (+8.4) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | BC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 20-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-5 | 10-6 |
| Away | 8-4 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#77) | 8.0 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#65) | 1.43 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#70) | 1.86 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#45) | 0.549 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | BC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.