Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | MILW -120 AKR +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +19 | 181 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -2.3 (+21.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.2 (+18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -2.2 (+21.2) | 154.1 (+26.9) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -0.3 (+19.3) | 155.5 (+25.5) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -0.7 (+19.7) | 154.7 (+26.3) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -0.9 (+19.9) | 152.1 (+28.9) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2025 | AKR 105 – 81 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 17-1 |
| Home | 13-3 | 16-0 |
| Away | 7-8 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 83.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 76.4 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#161) | 2.4 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#163) | 0.73 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#150) | 1.09 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#146) | 0.540 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 15.3 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 42.3% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.