Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | UTC -2500 AAMU +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +22 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -18.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -14.1 (+7.9) | 148.6 (-0.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -16.0 (+6.0) | 148.3 (-0.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -16.3 (+5.7) | 148.9 (-0.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -15.4 (+6.6) | 148.6 (-0.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2025 | UTC 73 – 66 AAMU |
| Dec 17, 2023 | UTC 88 – 72 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-9 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-3 | 8-9 |
| Away | 12-5 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W5 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 79.9 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#229) | -17.4 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#185) | -3.28 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#181) | -4.33 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#220) | 0.324 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 36.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 25.6% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 40.6% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 60.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 34.3% |
Game Analysis
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