Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | KENT -4000 MERC +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +25 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | KENT -18.6 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.8 (+17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -15.0 (+10.0) | 129.1 (+9.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -13.8 (+11.2) | 128.6 (+10.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -15.3 (+9.7) | 126.3 (+12.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENT -16.4 (+8.6) | 127.8 (+11.2) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENT | MERC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-7 |
| Home | 11-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 10-6 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#121) | -11.7 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#48) | -1.68 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.45 (#61) | -2.65 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#52) | 0.432 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENT | MERC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.6% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 24.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.6% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 58.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 61.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.2% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.