Betting Lines
| Spread | DAY -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | UNLV +188 DAY -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +8 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | UNLV -7.7 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (-25.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNLV -5.7 (+2.3) | 138.6 (-26.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNLV -3.9 (+4.1) | 137.3 (-25.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNLV -6.0 (+2.0) | 137.2 (-25.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -7.8 (+0.2) | 137.5 (-25.5) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2024 | DAY 66 – 65 UNLV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-7 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 61.0 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#140) | 4.1 (#91) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#133) | 1.01 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#139) | 1.61 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#227) | 0.719 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 26.8% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 43.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 49.0% | 37.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 37.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 34.6% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 77.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 9.6% | 15.0% |
Game Analysis
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