Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | MONT -225 STMN +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +19 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | STMN -15.6 (+34.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.7 (+0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -12.2 (+31.2) | 138.0 (-1.0) | 16% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -9.6 (+28.6) | 132.6 (+4.4) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -12.9 (+31.9) | 133.2 (+3.8) | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -13.9 (+32.9) | 138.7 (-1.7) | 13% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | STMN 88 – 81 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-4 | 12-2 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#324) | 7.2 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#274) | 0.48 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#288) | 0.76 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.396 (#272) | 0.569 (#116) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 53.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 42.1% |
| REB / G | 23.5 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 60.2% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 72.5% | 39.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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