Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | TLSA +250 LUC -350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TLSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TLSA +19 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | LUC -2.6 (+21.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.4 (-8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LUC -2.4 (+21.4) | 152.4 (-1.4) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TLSA -1.9 (+17.1) | 155.9 (-4.9) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LUC -1.1 (+20.1) | 150.1 (+0.9) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2024 | LUC 89 – 53 TLSA |
| Dec 6, 2023 | TLSA 88 – 77 LUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TLSA | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 4-14 |
| Home | 4-10 | 6-8 |
| Away | 0-12 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#187) | 2.3 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#174) | 2.27 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#174) | 3.21 (#22) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#235) | 0.938 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TLSA | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 20.0% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 42.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 27.9% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 39.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 43.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.