Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | STAN -1200 CP +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +37 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | STAN -6.2 (+30.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -4.5 (+32.5) | 132.9 (-9.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -13.4 (+23.6) | 135.5 (-12.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -6.6 (+30.4) | 132.2 (-9.2) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2024 | CP 97 – 90 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 8-25 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 1-18 |
| Home | 9-6 | 6-11 |
| Away | 2-8 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 59.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 66.3 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#230) | -0.4 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#151) | -0.25 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#106) | -0.32 (#196) |
| RPI | 0.666 (#46) | 0.531 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 37.0% |
| 3PT% | 23.2% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 4.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 40.2% |
| TOV% | 23.4% | 31.8% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 11.8% |
| FT Rate | 36.1% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 37.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 24.4% |
| DRB% | 79.4% | 80.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 37.7% |
Game Analysis
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