Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -27.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +30 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | IU -27.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.3 (-14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -17.0 (+13.0) | 153.5 (-11.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -19.5 (+10.5) | 154.4 (-12.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -21.9 (+8.1) | 153.7 (-11.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -21.8 (+8.2) | 153.1 (-11.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | IU 76 – 57 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-2 | 9-9 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 17.7 (#4) | -10.1 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.08 (#11) | -3.80 (#361) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.55 (#13) | -5.42 (#359) |
| RPI | 0.656 (#44) | 0.285 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 57.1% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 26.0% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.74 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 62.1% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.2% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 63.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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